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Wang Tao of UBS: It is estimated that deficit ratio will approach 4% of its financial resources or increase its investment in social security medical care next year. Wang Tao, head of Asian economic research and chief China economist of UBS, said that China's fiscal deficit ratio is expected to approach 4% next year, and the scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds excluding capital injection into state-owned banks may be 2 trillion yuan, and the amount of new local government special bonds may be 4.5 trillion to 5 trillion yuan. In fact, the fiscal expansion next year is relatively mild compared with the fiscal stimulus in 2008-2009. Wang Tao believes that next year, the government will increase investment in social security and medical care, and establish a more perfect social security system while boosting residents' confidence in the short term.According to sources, Keppel and Sovico Group are discussing submarine cables between Singapore and Vietnam.Li Zaiming, leader of the largest opposition party in South Korea, issued a statement urging members of the ruling party to support the impeachment of Yin Xiyue. Li Zaiming, leader of the Common Democratic Party, the largest opposition party in South Korea, issued a statement in the National Assembly on the 13th, calling on members of the ruling party, members of the National Force, to vote on the impeachment case of President Yin Xiyue on the 14th and support the passage of the case.

A new round of "account opening war" has come. Some banks have already arranged specific marketing tasks at the grassroots level on the day when the notice was issued. On December 12, the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security and other five departments jointly issued the "Notice on the Full Implementation of the Individual Pension System", which pointed out the key direction for the next development of relevant financial institutions. "The Bank has arranged a business-side meeting to deploy the work after the full implementation of the personal pension business." The relevant person in charge of the retail line of the head office of a stock bank told the reporter. It is also known that some banks have already arranged specific marketing tasks at the grassroots level on the day when the Notice was issued. When the personal pension system is fully rolled out, banks, insurance and other financial institutions with exhibition industry qualifications are actively preparing for the upgrading and optimization of personal pension business. A new round of "staking the land" for banks in account opening, deposit and agency sales is about to start, and the product reserves of various financial institutions will also reach a new level. (CSI Taurus)Sumitomo Rubber said that the price of domestic commercial tires and related products increased on April 1, 2025. Sumitomo Rubber raised the price of Japanese tires by 6-8% on average.The weighted share price index of Taiwan Stock Exchange closed down 0.1% at 23,020.48 points.

Ye Fan, Southwest Securities: In 2025, the upward trend of domestic economy will continue, and it is estimated that the annual RRR will be lowered by about 100bp. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Ye Fan, chief economist of Southwest Securities, said that in 2025, the domestic economy will continue to stabilize and upward under the policy. From the structural point of view, infrastructure and manufacturing investment are expected to remain the main support items for domestic investment next year, and the decline in real estate investment will gradually narrow; Domestic demand is expected to play a stronger role in stimulating the economy than external demand, and domestic residents' consumption is expected to continue to pick up under the policy. Regarding the direction of fiscal and monetary policies, Ye Fan predicted that the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be around 1.5 trillion -2 trillion yuan in 2025, and it will continue to support the "dual" areas. In the first half of next year or the peak of government bond issuance, there may be a RRR cut for hedging. It is estimated that the RRR cut will be about 100bp for the whole year, and the interest rate cut will be decided by camera. The interest rate cut of 25bp-40bp may be promoted step by step.On the 13th, the South Korean opposition party reported to the National Assembly on the motion of impeaching President Yin Xiyue again. (Xinhua News Agency)The Hang Seng Index fell by 1.6%; Led by industrial and commercial stocks, the Hang Seng Index fell 1.6% to 20,072.69 in Hong Kong. In midday trading, industrial and commercial stocks led the market down, and all kinds of stocks fell; Of the 83 stocks, 75 fell and 7 rose. Meituan dragged down the index the most, falling by 2.8%. Budweiser Asia Pacific suffered the biggest decline, down 6.1%.